比特币现金(BCH)近期的价格走势或为即将到来的比特币减半敲响警钟。BCH 被视为比特币区块链奖励减半的先行指标。
在 4 月 4 日 BCH 完成减半后,其价格已从高点下跌 15% 至 604 美元。与此同时,BCH 永续合约的名义持仓量在 7 天内暴跌 70%,多头押注正在解除。
分析认为,BCH 的走势表明,比特币可能在 4 月 20 日减半后面临抛售压力。JPMorgan 预计,一旦减半炒作消退,BTC 价格可能回落至 4.2 万美元。Wintermute 称,BCH 已被视为比特币减半的代理交易标的。
10X Research 创始人 Markus Thielen 表示,按其计算,矿工在减半后可能抛售价值 50 亿美元的 BTC,这种抛压可能持续 4 到 6 个月,这解释了为何比特币价格可能会在未来几个月横盘整理。
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